New York (CBS Marketwatch): Howard Marks, co-founder of Oaktree Capital Management, who has made billions investing in distressed debt, says that a 2020 election victory likely would be a major relief for Wall Street investors.
During an interview on CNBC on the sidelines of the Goldman Sachs Financial Services conference in New York City on Tuesday, Marks said Trump’s pro-business stance since after winning a first presidential term in 2016, in stunning fashion against Democratic rival Hillary Clinton, has made him an attractive president for the deep-pocketed crowd in financial markets.
The 73-year-old distressed investor, who boasts a net worth of $2.2 billion, according to Forbes, said that the roster of candidates campaigning for the presidency will be assessed, at least partly, on how pro-business or antibusiness their policies are.
“Market-wise, it all depends on whether we have a president who’s considered pro or antibusiness,” he told CNBC.
He said Michael Bloomberg, former New York City Mayor, who has thrown his hat into the presidential arena, would be viewed as business-friendly and described former Vice President Joe Biden as moderately-friendly to business.
What about Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, who has been rising in presidential polls, but has alienated a clutch of wealthy billionaires with a controversial wealth-tax proposal?
Read: Bill Gates says he’s happy to pay $20 billion in taxes, but Warren’s plan will make him ‘do a little math on what I have left over’
Check out: This is what the net worth of the world’s elite would look like if Elizabeth Warren’s tax plan had been in effect since 1982
“If [Trump] isn’t elected, the question is, ‘who is’?
Marks says: “Hold your hat,” if a progressive wins the White House.
That said, the investment guru, known for his colorful research notes, says that nothing is guaranteed.
“There is uncertainty as to the outcome,” and the market reaction, referring to the presidential election.
“Well, look! A week before Donald Trump’s election, there were two things we were sure of: Hillary would win and if Trump won the markets would collapse. So, Donald won and the market went up. So that tells me that we don’t know what’s going to happen,” Marks said.
He also said an impeachment of Trump by the House was all but assured and does create some unease in markets.